Silver and the US Dollar

Roland Watson
Posted Jun 23, 2009

Things look like they are moving to some kind of resolution on where silver is headed. The main bellwether for where silver goes is not gold but the US Dollar. The two charts below of the US Dollar Index and silver for the same time periods show how these two asset classes are moving in opposite directions. First silver which has dropped about 15% in 19 days.

(Click on images to enlarge)

Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index has moved up as much as 4% over the same time frame. Silver investors should keep an eye on the dollar here. The chart shows a symmetric triangle in the making as the dollar just bounced off the lower line and prompted a further silver sell off. The ABCDE is a classic Elliott wave correction pattern that often coincides with triangle formations.

The betting looks like the Dollar will revisit the top marked “E?” at which point this multi-week rally ends. At that point the probabilities favour a renewed silver price surge.

Further analysis of silver can be had by going to our silver blog at http://silveranalyst.blogspot.com where readers can obtain a free issue of The Silver Analyst and learn about subscription details. Comments and questions are also invited via email to silveranalysis@yahoo.co.uk.

Roland Watson
email: silveranalysis@yahoo.co.uk.

321gold Ltd