The Gold
Superhighway. Energize!
Stewart Thomson
email: s2p3t4@sympatico.ca
Sep 9, 2009
1.. I look out my gold window
and I see various pundits calling for higher and lower gold.
Most are looking higher now, being transformed into buyers and
believers as gold has soared $100 from $905. At 905 I stood pretty
much alone in the pain zone, screaming: Buy. Feel free to go
back and look thru the major gold sites and you'll see me, alone
amongst a sea of "it's going to 880" and "if 880
fails we're going to 850 or even 800!" calls. The theme
was: "I'm long term bullish, but right now I'm on the sidelines."
2. My theme at 905 was: Get
out of my way, I'm on the buy.
3. What do I see now? First,
let's focus on my actions. Here's a letter from one of my subs
yesterday, which sums up the action I'm taking in the gold market:
4. "S Kaching T, I
am with you today (booking $$$$$$$$) this is the first moment
I had to read your letter, been profit taking all morning - man
this is the greatest. NEVER have I taken soooo many profits or
had this much fun since subscribing in JAN.We win when the price
goesup and win when we go down, the pyramid ROCKS" -GU
sub letter Sep 8, 2009.
5. If you want to make money
in the market, you need to focus on both the past and the present.
Look at past market bottoms. Were you a buyer into those bottoms?
Yes or No? Look at the gold head and shoulders consolidation.
Focus on the lows in that pattern. Not the red neckline. Not
the price targets. Focus on the lows.
6. The lows in the pattern,
going backwards, are approx: $905 in July 2009. $860 in
April 2009. $800 in January 2009. $740 in Dec 2008. And $680
in Oct 2008. Here's a look at those lows:
7. My question to you is: Were
you a buyer of those lows?
8. There have been dozens of
lows, arguably hundreds of them, so far in this gold bull market.
Gold will make many more intermediate lows before this bull market
grinds to an end.
9. The time has come to focus
on being a buyer of the next low, and a profit booker into the
current highs.
10. There is a big difference
between being a profit-booker into highs and a seller of gold
because it is overbought technically. The difference is subtle,
but not small. It is huge, in terms of the effect that understanding
can have on your acnt.
11. If you don't have profits,
don't sell. It's that simple. As gold rocket-blasts to $1200,
you are a profit-booker. Not a top caller.
12. There is a 99.99% chance
that gold lows will be made on the gold superhighway to gold
1200. Where will they be? Answer: Where my largest buy points
come into that weakness, as it occurs.
13. Don't predict price. You've
failed to predict the lows, any of them. Obviously that strategy
as a means of making money in the gold market is a failure. So
dump it.
14. When gold goes into the
tank, and it will, then start buying.
15. For now, keep booking profit
like a machine all the way to gold 1200. Maybe we get there,
maybe we tank to gold 700 tomorrow morning. Who knows, who cares.
16. Predict your bank account,
not the gold price. If you respond to price, you'll have a reasonable
means of managing your bank account, and the amount of ounces
of gold you own, both in an upwards direction.
17. Sound good? It is. I have
a firestorm of testimonial letters like the one I posted above,
investors who came into this with no hope, no real plan, and
30 years of consistent failure. They are now booking consistent
profits and most importantly, gaining a major sense of control
in the market.
18. What might be causing gold
to blast to $1200? We're told it is "inflation expectations".
Maybe so. The bond market has been selling off. My own view is
the bond market is selling off as much on fears of a US
dollar collapse, as on inflation expectations. I said months
ago that the two most likely events triggering gold to $1200
would be a new escalation on the terrorism front and/or a US
dollar crisis.
19. The US dollar has failed
to rally from its oversold condition on the weekly charts.
The analysts who thought this September would be a twin to last
year's gold stock meltdown and USD rocketblast, are now in shock,
stuck holding USD and no gold stock, while gold soars. Here's
a look at the USdollar as it breaks down "impossibly."
20. The bottom line is this:
Rumours continue over serious threats to Germany in terms of
a terror attack, and Israel's inner cabinet is conducting intense
discussion over Iran's nuclear situation.
21. While I am a profit-booker
to gold $1200, and a modest buyer of USD into this sickening
weakness, you'll need to cut my head off to get my gold inner
core positions. Those who continue to use gold only as an online
trading vehicle may soon learn a life lesson equivalent to being
hit by a bus.
22. Should a move of substantial
money occur from the USdollar and bond market into the gold market,
this could set off a period of astronomical volatility in the
gold market. Thousands of technical traders could be destroyed,
as price careens thru chart points and stop losses, like a freight
train thru melted butter.
23. The key point is that global
governments (the Gman) will have a harder time calming down fund
managers and institutional players in such a situation, than
he has up to this point. Up to gold $1000, it has been the retail
player and the hedge fund that has acted rashly as gold has moved
around. If major institutional money moves into gold, governments
will seek to get them out of it. They will succeed at points.
As large money tries to move in and out of gold, huge price swings
will occur. I firmly believe the next phase of the gold market
will feature the complete destruction of thousands of technical
traders. This is why I've detailed the key strategy of buying
into weakness and selling into strength, rather that using technical
indicators to pick bottoms and tops.
24. As gold skyrockets, governments
will be forced to print more money to buy their own bonds to
halt rates from skyrocketing. If the bond market collapses, a
real estate holocaust will take place. Yet, ironically, the collapsing
US dollar itself could cause banks to hike mortgage rates, regardless
of the Fed's T-bond buy programs. My sense is the whole situation
is on the verge of blowing out of control. Even the perception
that this could possibly occur could cause a massive institutional
buying panic of gold. Most investors have forgotten about oil.
Given the absolutely hair-trigger situation in Iran, with Pakistan
also pushing the limits of stability, the energy markets could
be next to see a powderkeg price explosion upside!
###
Sep 9, 2009
Stewart Thomson
Graceland Updates
website: www.gracelandupdates.com
email for questions: stewart@gracelandupdates.com
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Stewart
Thomson
is a retired Merrill Lynch broker. Stewart writes the Graceland
Updates daily between 4am-7am. They are sent out around 8am. The
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Risks, Disclaimers,
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Stewart
Thomson is no longer an investment advisor. The information provided
by Stewart and Graceland Updates is for general information purposes
only. Before taking any action on any investment, it is imperative
that you consult with multiple properly licensed, experienced
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taking any action. Your minimum risk on any investment in the
world is 100% loss of all your money. You may be taking
or preparing to take leveraged positions in investments and not
know it, exposing yourself to unlimited risks. This is highly
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There is an approx $700 trillion OTC Derivatives Iceberg with
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