Graceland Updates 4am-7am
Gold and USD Chart Show
Stewart Thomson
email: s2p3t4@sympatico.ca
Jun 15, 2009
"Do you shave
your face with a CHAINSAW? Well, don't take a chainsaw to your
gold bullion either."
1. As we prepare for summer,
it's time for my chart summary of the major markets. Gold and
the US dollar are the two greatest markets in the world. They
are what I'm looking at today. Readers know my role is more coach
than prediction. I'm interested in readers making money. I'm
not just a coach, I'm a player.
2. The gold market's big technical
story is the head & shoulders on the weekly chart. A small
H&S top exists, and the neckline was broken Friday
morning near $940 around 4am. I was working at the time, and
alerted investors. That I was BUYING. That H&S target
is around 890. The main right shoulder low of the big weekly
H&S is at 850. I don't want to see price violate 850, but
even if it does, I'm a buyer . On any and all further price weakness.
I don't care if that weakness is to gold 929, gold 890, gold
850, gold 700, or gold 1 cent. I'm a buyer all the way
down. You should create the same mindset for yourself. Be a buyer
into any and all price weakness. Not a bailer. Price is falling
this morning BECAUSE losers are bailing. Let's give them a golf
clap and a handshake for playing the gold game. And then wash
our hands. In case we're contaminated.
3. No pattern, no analysis,
no supply/demand numbers, nothing but price rules my market actions.
I buy weakness and sell strength. End of story. If 850 breaks,
does it open up the door to 700? Yes it does. If you sold nothing
into the rally to 1000, you have nothing to buy if it falls to
700.
4. And, frankly speaking, you
should already have capital ready to buy gold 700, should it
occur. Here's the weekly chart for gold:
5. Click the link now, below,
to view my technical summary of the gold weekly chart in video:-
Gold
Weekly Chart Video.
6. What about the shorter time
frame? There is, unfortunately, a small head and shoulders that
has developed on the daily chart. Click on the link, below, to
view my daily gold chart summary:-
Daily
Gold Chart Video.
7. To get a better look at
this head and shoulders, it is best seen on the 60 minute chart.
The target is 895. Click here to view the summary of the intraday
gold chart:-
Gold
Intraday Video.
8. I'm not simply an Ivory
Tower coach. I'm a player. I probably take 90% of the
thousands of trades my Pgen creates myself, and every single
trade I book is a winner. And the party continues this morning.
I come from a family of athletes and teachers so you know one
thing about me: I hate failure and loss. Investors, traders and
business owners get demoralized when they lose. Athletes tend
to go into a rage when we lose. We are maniacally obsessed with
winning. Keep that in mind as you watch me buy this morning
from the gold bustouts.
9. My own focus is not junior
stocks or even senior stocks, I focus on the world's major markets.
Gold, Silver, Base Metals, US dollar and currencies, Oil &
Gas, Uranium, Major Commodity Indexes, the Dow/China's Xinhua
25, US T-bonds, etc. Regardless, the Pgen mindset can applied
to the tiniest junior as easily as to Gold Bullion. My subscribers
don't buy chart resistance breakouts. They take profit into them.
Buy signals from trendline breakouts? Sell into them! When the
MACD gives a sell signal to technicians to sell, I start buying
into the following price weakness.
10. Readers know I have been
pounding the table until I'm blue in the face. To sell some gold
into the recent price strength. Many sold, but then, sadly, rebought
again almost immediately. Instead of systematically. Terrified
they would miss out on the head and shoulders generated astroblast
to 1200 or 1300 gold. Now you may be watching gold melt away
and wondering what to do.
11. Bottom Line: Price chasing
adventure number 257 million goes up in flames. Live your financial
life by the exception like the fundsters do and... You die by
the banker's rules.
12. Some have wondered if I'm
actually an agent for the bullion bankers pretending to be a
gold community writer, and I am short gold. No, I'm not short
gold and my name is Stewart Thomson. Not James "the banker"
Bond! I short a strictly limited amt of gold and silver, against
my physical position. To book profit on portions of my physical
position in pre-set stages. Like a man shaves his face one stroke
at a time, I take profits in small bits into strength. Selling
paper gold against my physical long position. The greater the
strength, the more I shave off.
13. Question: Do you shave
your face with a CHAINSAW? Well, don't take a chainsaw to your
gold bullion either. Establish a modest amount of risk capital
for trading gold. Gold is the world's lowest risk investment.
Repeat that to yourself as many times as it takes, so you don't
liquidate when it falls...
"Gold is the world's lowest
risk investment.
"Gold is the world's lowest risk investment.
"Gold is the world's lowest risk investment.
"Gold is the world's lowest risk investment."
...If you play flipper with
your core positions, your odds of leaving this planet as an overall
market loser are about 99%.
14. Shorting gold against a
physical position can be mentally tricky. It's easier, emotionally,
to simply sell a piece of your gold. That transaction is done
in one move. When you short gold/silver, you are now carrying
two positions, your long physical and your short paper. The temptation
is to begin trying to bet gold will fall to a certain point.
That's a huge error for 99% of you. What I'm doing is locking
in profit on my physical position and nothing more. If I short
at say, 970, 980, 990, and price moves to say 1100, I leave the
shorts alone. If price doesn't fall below 970 to my next gold
buy points, I don't cover the short until I liquidate all my
physical metals, which is many years away. Brokers don't accept
physical gold as margin, so it takes additional cash to operate
the program. I suggest you read this paragraph a few times to
understand the difference between what I'm doing and what the
gold wannabe timers are doing when they short gold as a speculation,
with their "price targets."
15. Use short positions in
the metals to reduce physical transaction costs and to book profits
against a modest portion of your physical metal in a systematic
manner. Do not speculate on some imaginary downside price targets
in a gold bull market by going short gold. Over time those do
that repeatedly... will fry. If the US treasury revalues gold
upwards, you could face the mother of all margin calls.
16. Throughout this entire
bull market, my short position has not once exceeded 33%
of my long position. I'm not interested in naked shorting gold
in a bull market or in a gold bear market.
I'll buy the general stock market, US dollar, and
bonds in a gold bear market. End of story.
17. Speaking of the US dollar,
the profit parade there continues this fine Monday morning. USD
is soaring. With my exclusive Pyramid Generator, the Pgen, I've
turned around the investment lives of tons of investors.
More a mindset than a trading system, the Pgen allows even the
smallest investor to systematically buy weakness, sell strength,
and book only profits, not losses. Just like the bankers!
18. Click here to view my June
15 US dollar video covering the daily, and weekly, and monthly
charts:-
USD
Video Monday June 15
20. Do not over-analyze the
USD-gold relationship. Use them BOTH as money-making tools.
In the very big scheme of things, gold is the only "real"
money. And the US dollar, the ultimate paper money, will move
opposite to gold unless it is backed by gold in some way. But
in the short and even medium term, the US dollar and gold can
move together.
21. I took the weekend off
to recharge. I got an absolute firestorm of Pgen emails from
my last posting that I'm still chewing thru. I'll be caught up
by later this week. These individual Pgen emails aren't like
regular emails. Each email takes me a bit of time to do properly.
If you haven't heard from me, you will!
###
Jun 15, 2009
Stewart Thomson
Graceland Updates
website: www.gracelandupdates.com
email for questions: stewart@gracelandupdates.com
email to request the free reports: freereports@galacticupdates.com
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Stewart
Thomson
is a retired Merrill Lynch broker. Stewart writes the Graceland
Updates daily between 4am-7am. They are sent out around 8am. The
newsletter is attractively priced and the format is a unique numbered
point form; giving clarity to each point and saving valuable
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Risks, Disclaimers,
Legal
Stewart
Thomson is no longer an investment advisor. The information provided
by Stewart and Graceland Updates is for general information purposes
only. Before taking any action on any investment, it is imperative
that you consult with multiple properly licensed, experienced
and qualifed investment advisors and get numerous opinions before
taking any action. Your minimum risk on any investment in the
world is 100% loss of all your money. You may be taking
or preparing to take leveraged positions in investments and not
know it, exposing yourself to unlimited risks. This is highly
concerning if you are an investor in any derivatives products.
There is an approx $700 trillion OTC Derivatives Iceberg with
a tiny portion written off officially. The bottom line:
Are
You Prepared?
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