CNBC
To Become Pro-Gold?
Todd Stein & Steven McIntyre
The Texas Hedge Report
July 20, 2006
Courtesy of www.texashedge.com
During the 1990s, CNBC's daytime ratings
surpassed those of CNN. Go to any health club in 1999, and those
running on the treadmill were glued to CNBC. Fast forward to
2002-04 and we saw what happened once Americans realized that
the bull market of the late-90s was collapsing. CNBC's ratings
plunged and the network unsuccessfully tried to come up with
new programs to attract or retain viewers.
The graveyard of CNBC television
programs includes classics such as 'Open Exchange', 'Dennis Miller',
'Checkpoint CNBC', 'McEnroe', 'Bullseye' and many others. In
early 2005, desperate for ratings, CNBC launched 'Mad Money'
where viewers were treated to a loud and obnoxious Jim Cramer
running around a studio screaming at viewers to buy Google, Hoku,
and other momentum names. Because the market was rising and Cramer
is a charismatic salesman, the show took off. CNBC even ventured
into real estate when they recorded a few prime time specials
about the housing boom.
During the late 1990s, any
market bear or commodities bull who dared to appear on CNBC was
labeled a "crank" or "gloom-and-doomer".
Finally in 2002, the bears got their fifteen minutes of fame
when the market bottomed. But fifteen minutes was all they were
going to get because, as soon as the equity markets recovered,
it was back to crank-land. The network would have so-called "bull
versus bear debates", but the bears were made to look like
fools. To this day, we are convinced that 'Squawk Box' host Mark
Haynes disdains every market bear that appears on his show. Commodity
bulls have been treated with a little more respect because you
cannot "fight the tape". Oil, copper, gold and silver
are all up quite a bit over the past five years, so it is only
natural that CNBC would be open to having more commodities bulls
on their network. Moreover, even as commodities compete with
stocks, there are plenty of stocks that go up when commodities
rise in price. The one commodity that truly competes with stocks
is gold - because gold is the anti-paper asset of choice. Therefore,
it shouldn't be surprising that gold bugs are still labeled as
cranks (although not as much as before) despite the recent price
rise.
So why are we of the opinion
that CNBC and the rest of the media is about to warm to gold?
We think the answer is two-fold. The first reason is that gold
will continue to rise on its own, and the media will eventually
be forced to cover the precious metals. The second reason is
that Wall Street has managed to figure out how to "take
their cut" via issuing ETFs as a way for the masses to enter
the gold and silver markets. It took a few years for Wall Street
and the media to embrace net stocks and oil. So we haven't been
surprised that it has taken a few years for them to embrace gold.
So expect CNBC to warm up to gold as the establishment has their
own distribution network to compete with those "cranks"
at coin shops. [Editor's
note: Oy, don't be rude... Mr Bob is a coin shop 'guy.' (On second
thoughts... he is an old crank)].
Todd Stein & Steven McIntyre
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Todd Stein
& Steven McIntyre
email: admin@texashedge.com
For more information, go to http://www.texashedge.com.
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