Gold Charts R Us
Someone froze the gold
share market
Harry Schultz snippet
May 30, 2005
The
following snippet is an excerpt from Harry Schultz' current GCRU,
dated May 25, 2005. Gold Charts R Us - sent weekly by
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Welcome to GCRU No.162 on May 25, 2005.
Shades of Richard Nixon freezing prices all
those years ago. For past week, someone froze the gold share
market. Gold is virtually unchanged, off $2. Excitement,
there was not. The bullish downwedge in gold widened but
is still valid, just. Ditto the euro. Same as the bear upwedge
in US$. No structural changes! Gold indexes rose from 2-5% depending
which one U use, not a lot but better than a hit to the head.
The Schultz Gold Share Advance/Decline Line rose the height
of a toadstool, not much, but a frog pushed the Spinner to up
direction at least. No such luck with bullion's Spinner though.
Bell ringer Newmont
was unchanged Monday, which pretty well summed up the
day, & the week!
AngloAmerican
was the best performer all week, but that was mainly due to the
fall in the rand, which is great for all SoAfrican shares! But
has little direct effect on bullion. Indirect, perhaps. The Gold
vs XAU ratio is 5.09, after an intra-week rise to 5.30. Needs
5.50 for a buy signal, based on ancient history going back to
the discovery of King Tut's tomb. Or maybe even the king's birth.
In any case, not today.
I did virtually
no trading this week. U can't sail a sailboat without a bit of
wind.
Some vital news
event could trigger a euro fall/rise or a US$ rise/fall, which
in turn would shake up the sleeping gold giant. Meantime, we
could get a small bounce in the gold shares, but we need a bit
more time for generalized base action/strength to build/confirm
a Spinner green light.
I own one gold
share with a 15% loss (forgot to put in a stop, shame on me),
so I've now put in an order to sell on a minor rally, to reduce
the loss to a more acceptable 10%. That's about all I could think
of to do on Tuesday morning. Some excitement, eh? I also have
a few orders in to buy at higher, breakout levels & a couple
at lower big support levels. But not much. If gold closes under
417 for 1, maybe 2 days, I'll be shorting gold as a hedge against
bullion & gold share longs. Incrementally, ie, short more,
gradually, if the price continues to inch down. Insurance/hedging
is what makes U live worry-free & big-loss-free. Sometimes
the insurance is free, or even profitable (I try to do that;
usually do) & sometimes it isn't free, but never mind the
cost of fire insurance or stockloss insurance.
The alternative to shorting
gold as a hedge is to buy the US$ Index, which I sometimes have
done & will do again. I'll gradually start to do if it closes
over 87.50, basis June futures.
Strategy:
watch for a breakout of the wedges, in euro, US$ & gold.
Something's going to give.
By the way, the
euro is NOT collapsing despite the now near-certain French NO
vote on the EU Constitution next Sunday. As I said in HSL
this last Sunday (hope U saw): a No vote is not all that bad
for Europe. In fact BigPicture-wise, ie, the Giraffe's
eye view, we (G & me) see it as good.
Re energy
stocks: Warren Buffett just bought Pacific Corp. Sez he
will keep buying energy stocks forever. I'm with Warren, longterm.
Of course he can afford to sit thru corrections that some of
us prefer to avoid & we don't all always pick winners, but
loosely speaking, where can oil & energy go except up -as
long as deflation is not a threat-which it is not at present.
Inflation is still in charge. If that changes, U'll know it
& I'll push the yellow lightbulb. Oil is going to $60 before
very long, IMO. Its 3rd corrective leg down has approx
hit my target. I said 46 +/- was my target. It hit 46.10. Close
enough?
Keep thinking,
especially laterally.
Lots & LOTS more follows
for subscribers.
Gold luck from your patient Uncle
Harry. See U in the PS.
The following
indexes, mkts & gold stocks are reviewed this week in the
full edition of GCRU:
Agnico (NYSE & Tor)
American Retirement (NYSE)
Anglo American (Nas)
Cameco (NYSE & Tor)
Canico (Toronto)
Cvs Corp (NYSE)
Eagle Plains (Toronto)
Fnx Mining (AMEX & Tor)
Gold (NY)
Int'l Game (NYSE)
Labone Inc (Nas)
Lihir (Sydney & Nas)
Meridian (NYSE & Tor)
Newcrest Mng (Oz) |
Newmont (NYSE & Tor)
Novagold (AMEX & Tor)
Orezone Res. (AMEX & Tor)
Perseverance (Oz)
Rio Tinto (NYSE)
SGI
SGS (A/D line)
Sierra Pac Res (NYSE)
Teck Cominco (Toronto)
TREND INVESTORS
USD (NYBOT)
Viceroy Explor. (Tor)
Virginia Gold (Tor)
Yamana Gold (AMEX & Tor) |
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All charts created with TradeStation by Omega Research 2000.
###
Who is Harry
Schultz?
Chevalier
Harry D. Schultz, KHC, KM, KCPR, KCSA, KCSS, is the highest paid investment consultant
in the world at US$2,400/hour-US$3,400/hour on weekends (International
Edition Guinness Book of Records 1981-2002).
To keep in
touch with developments around the globe, Harry draws from correspondents
in many countries, plus mountains of international newspapers,
magazines, and other data. At the top command posts of Harry's
elite team are Chief Market Analyst, Paul Griffiths, and Research
Editor/geopolitical analyst Gordon Frisch. Loyal HSL and GCRU
subscribers in 90 nations are much more than simply names and
addresses; Harry and his team consider them part of their cherished
global family.
Harry is regularly
quoted in books, articles, and interviews and by other newsletters
(the "alternative press"). Arthur Hailey, a longtime
personal friend and HSL subscriber, based his character Lewis
Dorsey in the bestseller The Moneychangers, directly on Harry
Schultz.
Harry has lived
for extended periods in 18 nations, and shorter periods in many
others. Knighted five times, Harry is a man for all seasons and
a true citizen of the world.
Contact: E-mail:
HSLmentor@racsa.co.cr
Fax: Costa Rica (506) 272-6261
Fax: Switzerland (41) 21 652 0525
Mail: POBox 622, CH-1001-Lausanne, Switzerland
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Copyright ©1964-2005 F.E.R.C. All Rights Reserved.
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