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The Fantasy System

Richard Russell
Dow Theory Letters
Aug 13, 2003

Extracted from the Aug 11, 2003 issue of Dow Theory Letters

Debt and Inflation -Is there anything ethically or philosophically wrong with the central bank system of money as it has evolved? My answer is yes. As gold was systematically removed from the system, the system became a "fantasy system."

I say fantasy because the central banks are able to create money at will, with no discipline to stop them. This I believe is immoral, even evil. The current system allows a central bank to create money out of nothing - whereas I and my fellow Americans have to work for that same money.

Is it ethical, even logical, that I have to work my whole life to make say a million dollars when the Federal Reserve can, in a minute, create billions of the same fiat dollars that I work so hard for? The system defies logic and defies reality. It's a scam. But because there is no limit to the fantasy-dollars that the system has created, the system has simultaneously created a giant edifice of debt. Nobody is certain how much debt has been built into the US structure, but the accepted figure is around $38 trillion. If you figure that the average interest on this debt is 5%, then you are talking about $2 trillion a year needed to service that debt.

Thus, the system now requires inflation to handle the debt. You see, inflation renders debt less onerous through time. This explains why the Fed is so terrified of deflation. In deflation, debt becomes increasingly difficult if not impossible to handle. In deflation dollars become scarcer and more potent, while the debt remains constant. This, in a nutshell, is why the Fed is so frantic to thwart the forces of deflation.

The forces of deflation? What forces? During the '90s people, cities, states, the federal government, corporations - they all borrowed heavily. A huge world of "prosperity" was created. But alas, the structure toppled over starting in late-1999. We refer to that as the "bursting of the bubble."

Why did the structure topple over? It toppled because "no tree grows to the sky." It's as simple and yet as mysterious as that.

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Richard Russell
Dow Theory Letters

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