Gold Forecaster - Global Watch
Central Bank Sales Slowing?

Julian D.W. Phillips
April 3, 2006

Excerpts from "Gold Forecaster - Global Watch."

Note: The disparity between the Remaining Balance and the Total remaining is due to the full very recent figures of sales not yet being disclosed fully.

Latest sales under the C.B.G.A
In the week ending the 24th March 2006 three Central Bank Gold agreement signatories sold approximately 6 tonnes of gold again, a repeat of last week. These relatively small sales underpin our belief that it is the lack of selling volume that is helping to drive the gold price skyward at the moment. It is difficult to state accurately just what the "Official" policies of the Central Bank Gold Agreement are now, because of their lack of transparency on the day-to-day picture. However, the E.C.B. sales and statements are fascinating [see below] and give us room to speculate a little.

The drop from the large amounts of weekly selling at the end of last year beginning of this continues from as little as zero to the present level of 6 tonnes, but from three signatories now. One therefore has to speculate one of two probabilities.

There is a carefully orchestrated programme of sales designed to spread across the whole C.B.G.A. year, with a little leeway to attempt to sell the 'spikes.'

The sales of gold by the signatories are quickly running down.

Clearly the announcements from the E.C.B. and Germany have to leave any remaining sellers feeling awfully alone as the price roars up. At two tonnes each of the three sellers, this amount is hardly worth the bother?

European Central Bank Sales
The European Central Bank said it has sold 57 tons of gold as part of the 2004 central bank gold sales agreement. But it said it does not plan any further gold sales in the next six months. Last year it sold 47 tonnes in all. It also sold these earlier in the year. Last year's sales were just before the end of that first year. They have announced that it is not the E.C.B.'s intention to sell more gold for the second year of the agreement, starting on 27 September 2005 and ending on 26 September 2006.

We cannot help but feel that there is more to this than meets the eye. The next few weeks could see as low if not lower sales than we are seeing now. If so we get the impression that there is not the willingness on the part of the signatories to sell that much more. But rather than being premature, let's wait those few weeks.

-Julian D.W. Phillips
email: gold-authenticmoney@iafrica.com

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