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US Stk Mkt: Doom Waves Intensify

captainewave
email: admin@captainewave.com
website: www.captainewave.com

Aug 10, 2024

Crude Oil:



Analysis:

Our daily oil chart is in sync with our failing US growth prediction… and with an imminent and complete collapse of the US stock market.

For oil, wave i ended at the 103.65 high and we are now falling in a lengthy and complex wave ii correction. 

Our retracement levels for all of wave ii are:
 
50% = 68.50.
61.8% = 53.87. 
 
After wave ii ends, we expect a very sharp rally in wave iii.
 
Trading Recommendation: Go long crude with a put as a stop. Go long Suncor or another major producer of your choice.

Active Positions: Long crude, with puts as our stop. Long Suncor!


Interest Rates: 



Analysis:

An imminent collapse in rates, which we are projecting, would accompany a meltdown in growth and in the stock market. Here’s our current take on the matter:

The US 10-year Bond Yield has now completed wave i at the 5.021% high and we are now correcting that 5-wave impulsive sequence within wave ii, which has the following retracement levels:
 
50% = 2.698%;
61.8% = 2.155%.

It now looks like wave -iii- is subdividing with wave !i! ending at 4.227% and wave !ii! at the 4.479% high. We should now be falling in wave !iii!.
 
We are currently assuming that wave ii will be a simple 3 wave corrective pattern as shown on our Daily US 10 Year Bond Yield Chart.
 
The other option is that wave ii is more advanced than we currently indicate and in this count wave (a) ended at 3.785% and wave (b) at 4.747%. We are now falling in wave (c) which the following projected endpoints:
 
(c) = (a) = 3.525%.
(c) = 1.618)(a) = 2.776%.

Trading Recommendation: Go short, risking to 5.050%.
Active Positions: Short risking to 5.050%!       

Special Subscription Offer: At $99/mth the Captain Ewave newsletter value is superb, and we have a special offer this week of just $99 for a three month subscription. Investors get six updates a week from the captain! Send us an email at admin@captainewave.com or click this link and we’ll get you on board. Thank-you!


S&P500



As of Friday, we are now short the US stock market, and prepared for a multi-decade bear market that could last 30 to 40 years!

Analysis:

As can be seen on our Daily SP500 Chart, we completed wave iii of V at the 4748.83 high and a wave iv bullish triangle at the 4048.23 low. We should now be rallying higher in wave v.
 
We completed V at the 5669.67 high.

We are now moving lower in wave A, although at the moment we do not know what corrective pattern wave A will take. For the time being we will assume that wave A will become a simple 3 wave zigzag pattern, which we will call abc.

Within wave a, we should be falling in an impulsive manner, and in that case, we have updated our count to suggest that all of wave .i. of a, ended at the 5390.95 and all of wave .ii. at the 5566.16 high. We are now falling in wave .iii. which has an initial projected endpoint of:

.iii. = 1.618.i. = 5115.19.

We have now reached our first projected endpoint for wave .iii. although it could still extend lower before it ends, which would be:

.iii. = 2.618.i. = 4836.47.

If all of wave .iii. is complete at the 5119.26 low then we are now moving higher in wave .iv., which has the following retracement levels:

23.6% = 5224.73.
38.2% = 5289.98.

We have now reached our 38.2% retracement level, so we need to on guard for the completion of wave .iv. and the start of another drop in wave .v. to complete all of wave -i-. 

The other option is that wave .iii. Is still underway and heading to our second endpoint of 4836.47. In this case, within wave .iii., wave $i$ ended at 5119.26 and we are now rallying in wave $ii$, which has the following retracement levels:

50% = 5342.17.
61.8% = 5395.44.

In either case, after this correction ends the SP500 is going lower in either wave .v. of -i- or wave $iii$ of .iii. 

We project that the size of the drop in the SP500 is going to be significant!
    
Trading Recommendation: Go short SP500 futures, with call options as a stop.
                                                                              
Active Positions: Short, with call options as our stop!

Free Offer For 321Gold Readers: Please send me an Email to admin@captainewave.com and I’ll send you our free “GDX, Iamgold, and Barrick!” wave counts report. Stunning (and bullish!) charts are included in the report, for eager investors who are ready for serious upside action!

Thank-you!

Captain Ewave & Crew

email: admin@captainewave.com
website: www.captainewave.com

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