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US Stock Market: Waves Of Doom

captainewave
email: admin@captainewave.com
website: www.captainewave.com

July 27, 2024

S&P500

Short-Term S&P500 Chart:



Analysis:

We should now be moving lower in wave A, although at the moment we do not know what corrective pattern wave A will take. For the time being we will assume that wave A will become a simple 3 wave zigzag pattern, which we will call abc.

We are also falling sharply in small wave $iii$, which has an initial projected endpoint of:

$iii$ = 1.618$i$ = 5326.15.

We expect this drop to continue within wave $iii$, and with this market being so overbought and overvalued that we would not be surprised to see wave $ii$ extend to the next projected endpoint, which is:

$iii$ = 2.618$i$ = 5165.96!
    
Trading Recommendation: Awaiting a set-up to go short, with put options as our stop.
Active Positions: Flat!


Interest Rates: 

Monthly Rates Chart:



Analysis:

The projected decline the US stk mkt is in sync with our projected decline in rates.

Within a multi-year wave C, we are rallying in wave i, which is complete at the 5.201% high. We are now falling in wave ii, which should retrace between 50 to 61.8% of the entire wave i. We have provided those retracement levels in our Morning Post.
 
For the time being we will assume that wave ii, is going to become a simple 3 wave corrective pattern and if this assumption is correct then we completed wave -i- of (a) at the 3.785% low. 

We are working on the assumption that all of wave -ii- is now complete at the 4.737% high and if that is the case we are now falling in wave -iii-, which has an initial projected endpoint of:
 
-iii- = 1.618-i- = 2.776%.

Trading Recommendation: Go short, risking to 5.050%.
Active Positions: Short risking to 5.050%!    

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CDNX:

Daily CDNX Chart:



Analysis:
We are now rallying in wave -iii-, which has an initial projected endpoint of:

-iii- = 1.618-i- = 1773.38.
 
Within wave -iii-, which now looks to include a nested wave structure as shown on our Daily CNDX Chart, we are rallying in wave (i) and within wave (i), wave $i$ ended at 548.33 and wave $ii$ at 517.17.

We are rallying in wave $iii$ which has an updated projected endpoint of:
 
$iii$ = 6.25$i$ = 777.67.

We expect higher prices in the weeks ahead as this wave structure plays out!
                                                                                                                                
Trading Recommendation: Go Long the GDXJ as a long-term hold.
Active Positions: Heavily long the GDXJ and key juniors on the CDNX, as a long-term hold!

Free Offer For 321Gold Readers: Please send me an Email to admin@captainewave.com and I’ll send you our free “Gold: Shocking Wave Counts In Play!” report. Both weekly and daily charts are included with this important analysis!

Thank-you!

Captain Ewave & Crew

email: admin@captainewave.com
website: www.captainewave.com

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