Home   Links   Editorials

Gold Is Solid & Stock Market Is Dangerous

captainewave
email: admin@captainewave.com
website: www.captainewave.com

Jun 10, 2020


G
old:



It appears our original analysis for gold has proven to be correct, as we continue to work on a very complex wave $ii$ of ^iii^ correction.

The retracement levels for all of wave $ii$ are:

50% = 1659.30

61.8% = 1639.60.

Within wave $ii$, we think wave (a) ended at 1670.90, and all of our bearish wave (b) triangle at the 1761.00 high. We have been dropping in wave (c), which has a minimum target of 1670.90, which is the wave (a) low, although a drop into our retracement zone is expected.

Wave (c) has still not reached our minimum target of 1670.90. We have now rallied above the downtrend line connecting 1756.90 and 1728.40… which is suggesting that all of wave $ii$ could be complete at the 1671.70 low.  

After wave $ii$ ends we expect a very sharp rally in wave $iii$ to be the next big event in this market. We note that if wave -iv- in the GDX ETF is completed at the 31.23 low, then wave $ii$ in gold ended at the 1671.70 low! 

The other option is that our wave (b) triangle could be extending and expanding with only wave -d- ending at the 1671.70 low. In this case we are now rallying in wave -e- of (b).

In the short term, our next resistance is at 1728.00.



Longer term, we continue to rally sharply in wave ^iii^. Our first projection for the end of wave ^iii^ is:

^iii^ = 1.618^i^ = 1967.10

Our initial projection for the end of all of wave *iii* is still:

*iii* = 1.618*i* = 2306.30.

Trading Recommendation: Long gold. Use puts as stops.

Active Positions: We are long, with puts as stops!


Silver:



It appears that all of wave -iii- ended at the 18.94 high, which means that we are now falling in wave -iv-.

Our retracement levels for all of wave -iv- are:

23.6% = 17.91;

38.2% = 17.27.

The current drop in silver has now entered our retracement zone, so we need to be on guard for the completion of wave -iv- and the start of our wave -v- rally.

On the Intraday Chart the drops are corrective, which is suggesting that silver is going to move higher.  

Trading Recommendation: Long at 14.85, and using a put as a stop.

Active Positions: Long, using a put as a stop!


S&P500:



Short Term Update:

We continue to rally in wave (iii), which has an initial projected endpoint of:

(iii) = 1.618(i) = 4001.14.

Wave (iii) will consist of a 5 wave impulsive sequence, so we are likely still working on -i- of (iii), although we are likely getting very close to its completion.

After wave -i- ends we expect a wave -ii- drop that retraces between 50 to 61.8% of the entire wave -i- rally.



We believe this is a very dangerous rally, as it is be fueled by trillions of dollars in borrowed money, with more to come and the belief that the US economy will shortly return to pre-pandemic levels of activity.

We doubt that this economic activity is going happen as this stock market rally is suggesting… and are trading accordingly!!                                          

Trading Recommendation: Flat.

Active Positions: Flat!

Free Offer For 321Gold Readers: Please send me an email to admin@captainewave.com and I’ll send you our free short-term wave count charts and analysis for GDX and the CDNX junior miners index, with both daily and 60minute charts!

Thank-you!

###

Jun 10, 2020
captainewave & Crew!
email: admin@captainewave.com
website: www.captainewave.com

Risk: captainewave.com is an impersonal advisory service and, therefore, no consideration can or is made toward your financial circumstances. All material presented within captainewave.com is not to be regarded as investment advice, but for general informational purposes only. Trading stocks does involve risk, so caution must always be utilized. We cannot guarantee profits or freedom from loss. You assume the entire cost and risk of any trading you choose to undertake. You also agree to bear complete responsibility for your investment research and decisions and acknowledge that captainewave.com has not and will not make any specific recommendations or give advice to you or any of its clients upon which they should rely. captainewave.com suggests that the client/member test all information and trading methodologies provided at our site through paper trading or some other form of testing. captainewave.com, its owners, or its representatives are not registered as securities broker-dealers or investment advisors either with the U.S. securities and exchange commission or with any state securities regulatory authority. We recommend consulting with a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, and/or financial advisor. If you choose to invest with or without seeking advice from such an advisor or entity, then any consequences resulting from your investments are your sole responsibility.

All information posted is believed to come from reliable sources. captainewave.com does not warrant the accuracy, correctness, or completeness of information available from its service and, therefore, will not be liable for any loss incurred. Due to the electronic nature of the internet, the captainewave.com website, its e-mail & distribution services and any other such "alerts" could fail at any given time. captainewave.com will not be responsible for unavailability of use of its website, nor undelivered e-mails, or "alerts" due to internet bandwidth problems, equipment failure, or acts of god. captainewave.com does not warrant that the transmission of e-mails, or any "alert" will be uninterrupted or error-free. captainewave.com will not be liable for the acts or omissions of any third party with regards to captainewave.com delay or non-delivery of the captainewave.com nightly emails or "alerts". Further, we do not receive any form of payment or other compensation for publishing information, news, research or any other material concerning any securities on our site or publish any information on our site that is intended to affect or influence the value of securities.

There is no guarantee past performance will be indicative of future results. No assurance can be given that the recommendations of captainewave.com will be profitable or will not be subject to losses. All clients should understand that the results of a particular period will not necessarily be indicative of results in future periods. The results listed at this website are based on hypothetical trades. Plainly speaking, these trades were not actually executed. Hypothetical or simulated performance results have certain inherent limitations. Unlike an actual performance record, simulated trades do not represent actual trading. Also, since the trades have not actually been executed, the results may have over or under compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors such as lack of liquidity. You may have done better or worse than the results portrayed. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. No independent party has audited the hypothetical performance contained at this website, nor has any independent party undertaken to confirm that they reflect the trading method under the assumptions or conditions specified hereafter. While the results presented at this website are based upon certain assumptions believed to reflect actual trading conditions, these assumptions may not include all variables that will affect, or have in the past affected, the execution of trades indicated by captainewave.com. The hypothetical results on this website are based on the assumption that the client buys and sells the positions at the open price of the stock. The simulation assumes purchase and sale prices believed to be attainable. In actual trading, prices received may or may not be the same as the assumed order prices.

321gold Ltd