Benson's Economic
& Market Trends
Americans are Getting a
lot Less but it's Costing Them More
Richard Benson
Posted Jul 27, 2010
Inflation is defined as the rate at which
the general level of prices for goods and services is rising,
and, subsequently, the purchasing power is falling. I’ve
always thought of inflation in terms of what we get and what
we pay, but quality and service are as important as quantity,
for the price.
I felt inspired to write this article
when I went shopping for razor blades recently and had a painfully
difficult time finding the razor blades I needed. Much to my
dismay, I discovered that most of the stores want to sell five-blade
razors at a much higher price than the Trac II razor blades I’ve
grown accustomed to. So I rebelled by buying and hording away
every last Trac II blade I could find and now have enough blades
to last for years. But it’s not only razor blades that
are disappearing or increasing in price. It’s noticeable
every time I make a purchase at the supermarket, restaurant or
department store. Following are some examples of what I am talking
about:
Cereal boxes are only half full; yogurt
has shrunk to six ounces from eight; tuna cans are now five ounces
from six; candy bars are half their size, and newspapers are
shrinking and may totally disappear. (Reporters are expensive,
so picking up and printing government and corporate news releases
is now considered serious reporting.) A meal at a local restaurant
tasted like yesterday’s leftovers and the portion size
dwindled, but the price was higher.
Also, if you can afford to go on vacation,
you’ll become an unpaid travel agent working for the airlines,
car-rental companies, and hotel. That’s right. I recently
had to spend my valuable time on the internet doing the research
then booking and paying for a trip. Then, to top it off, I had
to use my computer, printer, and paper at my own expense.
When I got to the airport, I was strip-searched and forced to
pay extra for an exit row, to check a bag, get a pillow, blanket,
and a meal. Then, I had to waste an hour of my life in a long
line while being forced to take off my shoes in honor of the
shoe bomber and pay my respects to the TSA, who added a fee to
my airline ticket. When I picked up the rental car, airport fees
and taxes pushed the cost up by a third for an older car that
wasn’t well-maintained. (The major rental companies
are hanging on to their cars until they are close to breaking
down.) When I finally arrived at the hotel, I was hit with
a resort fee, internet fee, and daily telephone charge each time
I looked at the receiver. I was careful, too, when approaching
the mini-bar in the room because the motion detectors inside
would bill me for food and beverage items that were examined
and put back but not consumed (a bottle of coke was $5). The
taxes were horrendous and I wonder if the maid service and extra
towels or pillows were bundled in the final bill.
Every time I turn around, it seems like
we’re getting less but paying more. Believe me, none of
this “less for more” is appearing in the Consumer
Price Index. I even heard the other day that postage was going
up another two cents for a First Class letter, and Saturday delivery
may be eliminated altogether. If you’re dealing with
the government, there is no such thing as First Class. State
and local governments have closed parks, cut back on trash collection,
road repairs, library hours, and laid off teachers. Meanwhile,
taxes are going up and property values are going down. In New
York City, they announced a major cut in bus and subway service
along with a fair increase. When it comes to public services,
the collapse in services – especially in cities - will
be monumental and nowhere is it reflected as a major price increase
for services actually rendered.
When examining my recent cable bill,
I thought back to the old days when TV was free before you had
to pump your own gas and wash your own windshield. The electric
bill was up again, too. (In Florida, we get a special assessment
to help pay for new solar plants and the summer has had record
heat.) Lastly, my health insurance will go up the usual 20%
next year yet I’m told by our elected officials to have
a nice summer on our beautiful beaches that are threatened by
the oil spill.
On sober reflection, there is no question
that the government’s price statistics are not for honest
measurement but for propaganda purposes. The government actually
believes that if they tell us the cost of living is not going
up, we’ll believe them and won’t notice we are actually
paying a lot more for a lot less these days.
The commonly reported inflation numbers
in America make great use of hedonic adjustments which adjust
price for quality. The best example of this is in computers.
The speed of the computer chip gets faster and the hard drive
holds more data, so the price must have gone down according to
hedonic adjustments. Unfortunately, for me, since I use the computer
to write and to access the internet, the speed and value was
limited years ago by my typing speed, so a bigger, faster computer
has little benefit.
Worse yet, most of the hedonic adjustments
are for gadgets that are designed to break or are very expensive
to fix, and must be thrown away. Cars used to have engines a
guy could tear apart and tune. Now, they have computer chips
that cost over $1,000. Most electrical high-tech gadgets are
throwaway items: Drop them, spill some coffee on them, suffer
a power surge, and they’re toast. You will then have to
buy them all over again to survive in this world of gadgets,
but you won’t see that in the price index!
For the things you buy every day –
where hedonic adjustments can’t be used to defraud you
– take a look at what has happened to prices when stamps
were $.03 cents, a gallon of gas $0.18 cents, and a loaf of bread
$0.14 cents. See below:
1950 Prices
This 1950 menu from F.W. Woolworth is
an excellent example of how much cheaper it was to eat out in
the 1950s. Just wait and see what it will cost to live when you
finally get around to retiring!
###
Jul 26, 2010
Richard Benson
Archives
President
Specialty
Finance Group, LLC
Member FINRA/SIPC
2505 S. Ocean Boulevard
- Suite 212
Palm Beach, Florida 33480
1 800-860-2907
email: rbenson@sfgroup.org
Richard Benson, SFGroup, is a widely-published
author on securitization and specialty finance, and a sought after
speaker at financing conferences on raising equity for mid-market
companies.
Prior to founding
the Specialty Finance Group in 1989, Mr. Benson acted as a trading
desk economist for Chase Manhattan Bank in the early 1980's and
started in the securitization business in 1983 at Bear Stearns,
and helped build the early securitization businesses at Citibank
and E.F. Hutton.
Mr. Benson graduated
from the University of Wisconsin in 1970 in the Honors Program
in Math, and did his doctoral work in Economics at Harvard University.
Mr. Benson is a member of the Harvard Club of New York and Palm
Beach.
The Specialty
Finance Group, LLC is a Florida Limited Liability Company and
is registered with FINRA/SIPC as a Broker/Dealer.
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