321gold: Tom McClellan archives


Home   Links   Editorials

Tom McClellan archives

09/13/2024 Wheat & Gold: The Long Cycle
08/23/2024 Yen Spikes On Carry Trade Meltdown
08/01/2024 Sunspot Cycle Shows a Big Upturn for Unemployment
05/29/2024 Warnings Of An Approaching Market Sell-Off |
04/19/2024 Doctor Copper Has A Message on Inflation
03/29/2024 More Food Inflation Is Coming
02/19/2024 Taxes Will Bite the Stock Market
10/26/2023 Revisiting 1987 and Fishhooks
10/05/2023 Crude Oil Disagreeing with the Canadian Dollar
09/20/2023 Gold Starting New 13-1/2 Month Cycle
08/30/2023 M2 Continues to Fall, Making Stocks Overvalued
08/22/2023 CEF Share Price Discount is a Sentiment Tool For Gold
08/16/2023 DJIA/Gold Ratio vs. Consumer Sentiment
06/28/2023 Gold Chart Looks a Lot Different In Other Currencies
06/09/2023 Gold’s Model Calls For Crude Oil Bottom
03/31/2023 Baltic Dry Index As Leading Indication
02/02/2023 Gold’s Price Oscillator
01/19/2023 Stock Market Finally Breaking 2008 Analog
12/09/2022 The Gold Move that ETF Traders Were Not Betting On
09/03/2022 Sprott Physical Gold Trust As A Sentiment Tool
08/11/2022 Gold ETFs Being Shunned During Price Upturn
07/05/2022 Silver’s Small Speculators Are Giving Up Hope
06/01/2022 Gasoline Consumption Rebounding, But Still Down
05/11/2022 The Bad Things That QT3 Will Bring
04/12/2022 T-Bond Yields Following Gold’s Footsteps
03/31/2022 Unemployment Rate Will Turn Up
02/27/2022 Tin and the Dollar: A Curious Relationship
01/26/2022 The Baltic Dry Index’s Imperfect Message for Stocks
01/20/2022 Bond CEF A-D Line Showing Liquidity Problems
12/22/2021 The Planet Has Something to Say About Inflation Being “Transitory”
12/06/2021 An Oversold 10% Trend of Daily A-D
12/04/2021 RASI Failed At +500, Bad News For Bulls
11/17/2021 Borrowing a Sentiment Tool From the Yen To Use With Gold
11/04/2021 Uranium’s Message For Gold into 2022
10/06/2021 Gold Says Oil Prices Heading Higher into 2022
09/19/2021 Seasonal Stress Sparks Sentiment Swoon
08/31/2021 A-D Line’s Troubling Divergence
06/29/2021 VIX Open Interest Is Falling, Which is NOT a Feature of Price Tops
06/24/2021 Tin Has a Message For the Dollar
06/15/2021 Seasonality Versus The Fed
06/01/2021 Real Estate Boom in 2021 is Fueled By Demographics
05/26/2021 Pause Coming For The Rise In Interest Rates
05/19/2021 GLD Assets Still Lagging Gold’s Rise
05/11/2021 Gold’s 13-1/2 Month Cycle In Up Phase
05/05/2021 How Valuation Behavior Has Changed Over The Years
03/24/2021 Are Deficits Bullish For Gold?
03/03/2021 Yield Curve Steepening, and Small Caps
12/23/2020 Bitcoin as Messenger
11/19/2020 Bumpy Price Oscillator in GDM
11/12/2020 Post El Niño Cooling Means a Bottom Soon For Bond Yields
11/04/2020 Stocks and Polls - Different This Time?
10/21/2020 Gold Prices Lead Interest Rates
09/23/2020 Is QE Good For Gold Prices?
08/31/2020 Rainbow Convergence In T-Bond Prices
08/05/2020 Corn and Wheat Prices Headed Higher
07/23/2020 Crude Oil: Uptrend to October
07/15/2020 Traders Chase QQQ, “The Only Thing Working”
06/17/2020 Rogue Wave Follow Up
05/31/2020 Unemployment Is Not “Good”, But It Is Bullish
04/06/2020 Sudden Surge in Bearishness
03/04/2020 Fed Pulling Back from Repos at The Wrong Time
02/24/2020 It Takes 15 Months for Yield Curve Inversion To Be Felt
02/06/2020 How are Stocks Going Up While Earnings Go Down?
01/15/2020 VIX Is Not Confirming Higher Prices
01/09/2020 Fed Funds COT Leading Indication
12/31/2019 Gold COT Data Call for More of a Drop
12/18/2019 Big Rise Coming in Food Prices
10/22/2019 Eurodollar COT Model Calls For Continued Rates Drop
09/24/2019 Yield Curve and Small Caps
09/15/2019 Trump Thinks He Wants Low Rates Like Europe, But Be Careful What You Ask For
09/10/2019 Bond Yields Stretched Far From Oil’s Message
09/02/2019 Crude Oil’s 10-Year Message
08/22/2019 Inverted Yield Curve, and Small Caps
08/04/2019 Quiet McClellan Oscillator is a Tell For a Top
07/23/2019 QQQ Volume Showing Us Sign of a Top
05/27/2019 Baltic Dry Index Leads Stock Prices
05/06/2019 A New VIX Indicator (That’s Really Not All That New)
03/18/2019 Price = Sentiment
02/28/2019 Gold’s Fellow Travelers Refute Its Higher High
01/14/2019 Crude Oil Leads Bond Yields
01/07/2019 Santa Claus’ Report Card Is In
12/31/2018 Finally a 10-1 Up-Volume Day
12/10/2018 Mortgage Rates Explain Housing Weakness
11/17/2018 Oil’s Drop Bigger Than Called For, But Right On Schedule
11/11/2018 Sunspots and the Stock Market: A Weak Relationship
10/01/2018 Ten Hindenburgs So Far
09/23/2018 Gold Now Bound to the Yuan
09/08/2018 DJIA/Gold Ratio
09/03/2018 Deja Voodoo, 1994 Edition
08/05/2018 Investors Intelligence Bull-Bear Spread
06/10/2018 Stalled Gold Price Fueling Disinterest
05/06/2018 Gold/Silver Ratio
05/02/2018 Deficits and Gold
04/01/2018 Crude Oil Swooping Up On Schedule
03/01/2018 Volatility and Interest Rates
02/14/2018 Big Change In Bull-Bear Spread
02/08/2018 VIX Spike Takes it Above All of its Futures
01/27/2018 Finally, An Actual Use For Bitcoin
01/21/2018 Ending How It Began (Parabolically)?
01/06/2018 Gold in Euros Not Confirming
01/02/2018 Gold’s 8-year Cycle
12/12/2017 The McClellan Market Report (snippet): Gold
11/28/2017 Running Out of Workers
11/23/2017 China’s 10-year Yield Bumping 4%
10/07/2017 Another Narrow Range for McClellan Oscillator
10/05/2017 Gold (snippet)
10/01/2017 Coppock Curve for DJIA Getting Up to High Level
09/17/2017 Silver COT: Commercials Betting Against Breakout
09/09/2017 Gold’s 13-1/2 Month Cycle: Right Translation
09/04/2017 GLD Assets Spike Higher
08/06/2017 DJIA Arriving at the Real Seasonal Peak
06/10/2017 The Unexplainable 4-Year Rerun
04/18/2017 Gold Resolves Some Bearish Divergences
03/14/2017 Huge Imbalance in Crude Oil Positions
02/01/2017 Bitcoin is a Bubble We’ve Seen Before
01/23/2017 High AMO Says Rates Should Stay Low
01/09/2017 Debt or DJIA: Who Gets to 20* First?
12/17/2016 Lumber’s Message For Interest Rates
11/19/2016 Copper Spike
11/11/2016 The Market, Under a New President
11/01/2016 Gold’s 13-1/2 Month Cycle Low
10/15/2016 DJIA, And the Echo of 2007-08 Oil Blowoff
10/08/2016 Big Drops Do Not Mark Final Gold Bottoms
09/22/2016 Gold Nears 13-1/2 Month Cycle Low
08/19/2016 Gold Bound To The Yen
07/24/2016 SPY Shares Outstanding Showing Topping Condition
05/21/2016 Major Cycle Low Upcoming in Gold
04/05/2016 Big-Money Traders Are Short T-Bonds Big-Time
03/19/2016 Bad News: People Are Saving More
03/05/2016 Gold Preps For New Trending Move
02/07/2016 GLD Assets Show Resurgent Interest in Gold
01/11/2016 Stock Market Committed to 2008 Scenario
12/04/2015 Gold Sentiment Washout
11/01/2015 COT Data For Gold At Topworthy Level
08/25/2015 Eurodollar COT Says Ugly Drop Is Still Ahead of Us
07/27/2015 RASI Shows Bull Market Waning
07/20/2015 Gold Priced In Euros Has Gone Quiet
06/15/2015 The Magic of 150 Months
05/31/2015 Uranium and Gold, a Peculiar Correlation
05/24/2015 Crude Oil Leads Bond Yields
02/14/2015 Crude Oil Leads the Euro
01/30/2015 Dollar Is Wandering Off Track
12/27/2014 Oil Follows Gold’s Crash Pattern
12/15/2014 What Hindenburg Omens and an Oil Crash Mean
12/08/2014 Capitulation Not Over in Crude Oil
11/28/2014 GOFO Squeeze
10/12/2014 COT Data Show A Bottom For Copper
10/07/2014 Commercials Betting On Big Dollar Downturn
09/15/2014 Gold - Watch the €1000 Level
08/01/2014 A Scary Valuation Indicator
07/18/2014 Fishing Around For a Gold Cycle Bottom
04/18/2014 Gold’s Cycle is in Left Translation
12/09/2013 Gold COT Data Again Proclaiming a Price Bottom
11/17/2013 Bond Yields Say More Downside For Dollar
11/03/2013 ETF Investors Still Hating Gold
09/14/2013 Bond CEFs Still Say Liquidity is in Trouble
08/23/2013 Gold’s 13-1/2 Month Cycle
06/30/2013 Gold (snippet)
06/28/2013 Gold is Following in Stock Market’s 2009 Footsteps
06/17/2013 Gold COT Data Show Bottoming Condition
06/07/2013 Hindenburg and Titanic, OH MY!
04/08/2013 Bond CEFs Now Saying Liquidity Is In Trouble
07/02/2012 Interest Rate Models Call For Lower Dollar
06/03/2012 Gold (snippet)
05/28/2012 Gold Breaks Downtrend, Sort Of
05/14/2012 Is JPM “The Burning Loach”?
05/04/2012 Gold
04/30/2012 Gold Repeats A Prior Pattern
04/18/2012 Gold
03/18/2012 In Order To Tame Inflation, Just Tame Uncle Sam
03/12/2012 Gold ETF Investors Were Not Scared Away
12/11/2011 What Debt Default Means For The Stock Market
11/21/2011 One to Three Years Left For Gold’s Run
10/28/2011 Negative Real Yields, Too Much of a Good Thing
08/08/2011 NDX Stocks Illustrate the Washout
07/01/2011 Silver Chart Update
06/06/2011 Silver is Tracing Out 1980 Post-Bubble Pattern
02/26/2011 Oil Spike Eases Big Contango
02/07/2011 Gold ETF Assets
01/17/2011 Bumpiness Is a Message
01/10/2011 ...Copper & the Stock Market
11/22/2010 Is Gold Overvalued?
02/01/2010 Unusual Stochastic Makes Good Oscillator
01/11/2010 The One Real Fundamental Factor Driving Gold Prices
12/14/2009 CIF Final Dip Coming For Housing Market
10/08/2008 GDM index
09/29/2008 Special Alert
09/11/2008 Gold (snippet)
08/28/2008 The McClellan Market Report (snippet)
06/19/2007 Gold: A look at the COTs
03/27/2006 Crude Oil Biding Time Until Summer
12/16/2005 Blowoff Top in Gold an Historic Event
12/13/2005 Gold In Frightening Blowoff Rise
05/31/2005 Oil To Become The Big Story Again
05/18/2005 Beware falling knives & full moons
00/00/0000 Gold Now Bound to the Yuan